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Registros recuperados: 284
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IMPACTS OF POLICY REFORM ON HILL FARM INCOMES IN UK AgEcon
Acs, Szvetlana; Dallimer, Martin; Hanley, Nick; Armsworth, Paul R..
Hill farming in UK is experiencing very difficult economic circumstances and many farmers rely on subsidies provided by the government for a large fraction of their income. The Peak District National Park is used as a case study to examine how farmers might respond to current policy changes – in particular, the move from area- and headage-based payments to the Single Farm Payment. The objective of this paper is thus to develop production models that predict how farmers will respond to changing policy framework conditions. For this purpose socio-economic surveys were carried out on 44 sample farms. Based on these surveys six representative farm linear programming models was developed, which represent typical farm types in the uplands in the Peak District....
Tipo: Book Palavras-chave: Changes in subsidies; Risk; Survey; Farmers’ reaction; Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43182
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Risco no mercado de arroz em casca AgEcon
Adami, Andreia Cristina de Oliveira; Barros, Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo.
O presente trabalho avaliou as características das séries de retornos, normalmente encontradas em séries financeiras, para dados do mercado de arroz em casca ao produtor do Rio Grande do Sul. Um modelo da classe GARCH (1,1) tipo VaR foi utilizado para obter previsões da variância condicional e verificar o risco incorrido pelas posições comprada e vendida no mercado de arroz em casca. Foram realizadas previsões fora da amostra do tipo VaR para o risco de mercado para um mês à frente (um passo a frente). A taxa de falha calculada foi de 6,45% - número de vezes que o valor observado excedeu o valor esperado – pois, o modelo falhou em 2 das 31 previsões obtidas, sendo que, uma das 31 previsões excedeu os menores valores previstos e 1 excedeu os maiores valores...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Arroz em casca; Risco; Mercados agrícolas; Variância condicional; Paddy; Risk; Agricultural markets; Conditional variance; Crop Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103101
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Optimal investment in prevention and control of a potential invader: the case of zebra mussels in Florida waterways AgEcon
Adams, Damian C.; Lee, Donna J.; Rossi, Frederick J..
The probability of a severe infestation ranges from 2% to 98% depending on investment in monitoring, prevention, and response technology. Given the estimated potential for economic damages, preliminary results indicate that prudent investment in prevention and early response net a present value net return of $10 million over 20 years.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Invasive species; Bio-pollutant; Control cost; Cost transfer; Surface water; Risk; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34933
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A modern view of Joseph's policy: food stocks as financial assets AgEcon
Adelman, Irma; Berck, Peter.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Food consumption; Mathematical models; Price stabilization; Prices; Risk; Supply and demand.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43666
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Food security policy in a stochastic world AgEcon
Adelman, Irma; Berck, Peter.
Food security may be increased by variance-reducing strategies, by food aid, or by development strategies. This paper uses a Korea CGE model, subjected to random fluctuation in world-prices and domestic food productivity, to evaluate these policies. We find that poverty-reducing development strategies are the most effective food-security strategies.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural policies; Food aid; Prices; Risk; Stochastic models.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43664
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Financial considerations of public inventory holdings in developing countries AgEcon
Adelman, Irma; Berck, Peter.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Consumption; Investments; Public finance; Risk.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43739
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Producer Heterogeneity in Crop Insurance Product Decisions within Major Corn Producing States (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Adhikari, Shyam; Belasco, Eric J.; Knight, Thomas O..
PowerPoint presentation
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Risk; Decision-making; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48902
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Variabilite spatiale de l'interaction entre gestion de la fertilie et risque climatique. Infoteca-e
AFFHOLDER, F.; SILVA, F. A. M. da.
bitstream/CPAC-2009/24350/1/p2002_78.pdf
Tipo: Fôlder / Folheto / Cartilha (INFOTECA-E) Palavras-chave: ECLIMA200.; Climatologia; Cerrado; Risco; Variação Sazonal.; Climate; Climatology; Risk; Seasonal variation..
Ano: 2004 URL: http://www.infoteca.cnptia.embrapa.br/infoteca/handle/doc/567650
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Determinants of Participation in a Catastrophe Insurance Programme: Empirical Evidence from a Developing Country AgEcon
Akter, Sonia; Brouwer, Roy; Chowdhury, Saria; Aziz, Salina.
The paper presents empirical evidence of the determinants of catastrophe insurance participation in one of the poorest and most disaster prone countries in the world. In a large-scale household survey carried out in 2006 we ask 3,000 residents in six different districts in Bangladesh facing various environmental risk exposure levels about their willingness to participate in a catastrophe insurance programme. Combining factors put forward in risk theory and economics, we estimate a model of insurance participation. We show that the household decision to participate in the insurance programme differs depending on both exogenous and endogenous risk exposure levels. As predicted by micro-economic theory, ability to pay, measured in terms of household income...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Natural disasters; Catastrophe; Insurance; Participation; Risk; Bangladesh; Consumer/Household Economics; Environmental Economics and Policy; International Development; Risk and Uncertainty; Q54.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/5984
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Risk Analysis in Selected European and International Food Chains AgEcon
Ameseder, Christoph; Haas, Rainer; Fritz, Melanie; Schiefer, Gerhard.
The purpose of this study is to assess and evaluate the most important risks in selected European and international food chains from the perspective of the buying company. The primary objective is to identify the “non-acceptable” risks in terms of damage potential and likelihood of occurrence of value chains in the sectors grain, meat, fruit and vegetable, and olive oil. Data was collected by each partner of the European research project “e-trust” (FP6-CT-2006-043056) by conducting 81 qualitative expert interviews with business leaders in Europe (Austria, Germany, Greece, Italy, Slovenia, Spain) as well as in Brazil, Turkey, and the USA. The study focuses on a wider supply chain or network perspective for the risk assessment. Methodically the assessed...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Risk analysis; Supply chain; Food; Risk map; Risk classification; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Food Security and Poverty; Industrial Organization; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58708
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Hedging a Government Entitlement: The Case of Countercyclical Payments AgEcon
Anderson, John D.; Coble, Keith H.; Miller, J. Corey.
This research evaluates whether the introduction of countercyclical payments creates an incentive for program crop producers to hedge the expected government payment using futures and/or options. Results indicate that some level of countercyclical payment hedging is optimal for risk-averse decision makers. However, optimal hedge ratios depend on planting time expectations of marketing year average price as well as on what crop, if any, has been planted on countercyclical payment base acres. These results suggest that the ability to hedge may make these payments more decoupled but also illustrate the distortion of producer behavior induced by farm programs.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Countercyclical payment; Expected utility; Hedging; Policy; Risk; Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; Q12; Q13; Q18.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6299
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Current Issues in Crop Insurance (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Anderson, Richard.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Risk; Risk Management Agency; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48909
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Ecological Risks of Novel Environmental Crop Technologies Using Phytoremediation as an Example AgEcon
Angle, J. Scott; Linacre, Nicholas A..
Phytoremediation is the use of living plants, known as hyperaccumulators which absorb unusually large amounts of metals in comparison to other plants. The use of classical plant breeding and new molecular techniques offers great potential to develop crops with the ability to clean up polluted sites. While these technologies have gained widespread attention, prior to commercial development, there are risks that must be considered – only a few of which have received even modest examination. Therefore, the focus of this working paper is to explore specific risks associated with phytoremediation and suggest ways in which these risks can be managed so that new, novel, and innovative plant technologies may be applied to provide low cost and efficient...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk; GMO; Biotechnology; Phytoremediation; Phytoextraction; Phytomining; Environmental risk; Crop Production/Industries; Q16; Q2.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59225
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A Dynamic Decision Model of Technology Adoption under Uncertainty: Case of Herbicide-Resistant Rice AgEcon
Annou, Mamane Malam; Wailes, Eric J.; Thomsen, Michael R..
Herbicide-resistant (HR) rice technology is a potential tool for control of red rice in commercial rice production. Using an ex ante mathematical programming framework, this research presents an empirical analysis of HR rice technology adoption under uncertainty. The analysis accounts for stochastic germination of red rice and sheath blight to model a profit maximization problem of crop rotation among HR rice, regular rice, and soybeans. The results demonstrate that risk attitudes and technology efficiency determine adoption rates and optimal rotation patterns.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Biotechnology; Herbicide resistance; Mathematical programming; Profit maximization; Rice; Risk; Rotation; Technology; Adoption; Crop Production/Industries; Production Economics; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Q16; Q18; O33; C61.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43724
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Can Risk Reducing Policies Reduce Farmer's Risk and Improve Their Welfare? AgEcon
Anton, Jesus; Giner, Celine.
This paper develops an analytical model able to represent the decisions of an individual risk averse farmer facing variability in both prices and yields. A comprehensive set of stylised risk reducing policy measures is represented. A calibration of the model is used to run Monte-Carlo simulations and to obtain optimal responses. The main focus is the interaction between policy measures and market strategies in terms of impacts on production, welfare and risk. Risk reducing strategies that cover different sources of risk, such as price and yield variability, may be complementary for the farmers. Counter-cyclical area payments create incentives to bring land into production and their capacity to reduce farming risk is mitigated by the potential crowding out...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Welfare; Policy; Insurance; Counter-cyclical; Agricultural and Food Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24578
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Farm Level Analysis of Risk, and Risk Management Strategies and Policies: Evidence from German Crop Farms AgEcon
Anton, Jesus; Kimura, Shingo.
This paper describes farmer’s exposures to risks at the individual farm level and develops a model representing the decisions of an individual risk averse farmer facing variability in both prices and yields. A set of stylised risk market instruments is represented. The model is calibrated using farm level data from Germany. Monte-Carlo simulations of the random variables are run, and the corresponding optimal responses are obtained. The main focus of this paper is the interactions between government payments and the farmers’ use of risk market instruments in terms of the potential crowding out of such instruments and impacts on farm return and welfare. Unlike other studies this paper models farming response to payments in terms of production and the use...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Welfare; Crop yield insurance; Forward contracting and Single Farm Payment; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51729
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An assessment of farmer’s risk exposures and policy impacts on farmer’s risk management strategy AgEcon
Anton, Jesus; Kimura, Shingo.
This paper describes farmer’s exposures to risks at the individual farm level and develops a model representing the decisions of an individual risk averse farmer facing variability in both prices and yields. A set of stylised risk market instruments is represented. The model is calibrated using farm level data from Germany. Monte-Carlo simulations of the random variables are run, and the corresponding optimal responses are obtained. The main focus of this paper is the interactions between government payments and the farmers’ use of risk market instruments in terms of the potential crowding out of such instruments and impacts on farm return and welfare. Unlike other studies this paper models farming response to payments in terms of production and the use of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Welfare; Crop yield insurance; Forward contracting and Single Farm Payment; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/57663
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A irrigação do cafezal como alternativa econômica ao produtor - DOI: 10.4025/actasciagron.v32i2.1624 Agronomy
Arêdes, Alan Figueiredo de; DER/UFV; Pereira, Matheus Wemerson Gomes; DER/UFV; Santos, Maurinho Luiz dos; DER/UFV.
Este trabalho objetivou verificar a viabilidade econômica da produção irrigada de café com pivô central em regiões com condições pluviométricas favoráveis à produção. Foram analisados quatro cenários para o nível de preços e três diferentes períodos de duração dos projetos de investimento. De acordo com os indicadores econômicos obtidos, a irrigação do cafezal com pivô central é economicamente superior à alternativa não-irrigada, sendo um fator condicionante para elevação da rentabilidade e diminuição do risco no cultivo do café
Palavras-chave: 6.03.10.01-4 viabilidade econômica; Risco; Café Economia Agrária economic viability; Risk; Coffee.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://periodicos.uem.br/ojs/index.php/ActaSciAgron/article/view/1624
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Rentabilidade e risco na estocagem do café pelos produtores na região de Viçosa - MG AgEcon
Aredes, Alan Figueiredo de; Pereira, Matheus Wemerson Gomes; Santos, Vladimir Faria dos; Santos, Maurinho Luiz dos.
The objective of this article was to evaluate the yield and risk in the production and storage of the Arabian coffee. Cash flows are elaborated for coffee production in two productive systems, one with low productivity and other with high productivity. Twelve different scenarios are simulated, each one representing the returns and risks in the production and storage for every month of the year. The financial indicators Payback Period (PP), Net Present Value (VPL) and Internal Rate of Return (TIR) and the indicator Average Cost (CMe), suggest that high productivity is important to increase profitability and to decrease the activity risk, being the best periods to sale coffee, on the part of the producers, the months that precede the harvest, January,...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Financial Economics; Coffee; Return; Risk.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53876
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Viabilidade econômica da irrigação da cultura do café na região de Viçosa - MG AgEcon
Aredes, Alan Figueiredo de; Santos, Maurinho Luiz dos; Rufino, Jose Luiz dos Santos; Reis, Bricio dos Santos.
The objective of this paper is analyze the economic viability of implanting different technological alternatives of irrigation in the culture of coffee in the municipal district of Viçosa-MG. Technical and financial parameters of coffee cultivation were analyzed in five different technological alternatives: (A) - no-irrigated production with low productivity, (B) - no-irrigated production with high productivity, (C) - irrigated production by leaking, (D) - irrigated production by leaking fertilizing, (E) - irrigated production by mesh. For each one of there alternatives, Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, the Rate Interns of Return Modified and the Payback Period, being made the risk simulations were performed using the Latin Hypercube method. Results...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Coffee; Return; Risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54597
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